TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 5 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 5 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there is significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbook odds can be useful for identifying potential value discrepancies and informing your trading strategy in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular player winning the NFL rushing touchdowns race. As more shares are purchased for a player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of that player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, and the market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available. The current price of shares for each player represents the market's collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the NFL's official statistics will be used to determine the player who has scored the most rushing touchdowns at the conclusion of the regular season. The player with the highest number of rushing touchdowns will be declared the winner, and shares in that outcome will pay out. Any ties will be resolved according to the NFL’s official tie-breaking procedures.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst; if a leading contender is sidelined, their share prices will likely decrease, and the prices of other players will increase. Strong or weak performances in upcoming games will also shift probabilities. Unexpected changes in team offensive schemes or coaching decisions could also impact a player’s opportunities to score. Finally, any news regarding player health, suspensions, or trades will be closely watched by traders and could lead to substantial price movements in this market.