TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 3:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards). Only games designated by the NFL as Week 4 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage touchdowns (rushing touchdowns plus receiving touchdowns) in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of scrimmage yards per touch (scrimmage yards divided by the sum of rushing attempts and receptions) in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards). Only games designated by the NFL as Week 4 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage touchdowns (rushing touchdowns plus receiving touchdowns) in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of scrimmage yards per touch (scrimmage yards divided by the sum of rushing attempts and receptions) in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market reacts to news and information more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. Over time, the odds on Polymarket may converge with sportsbook lines, but often, prediction markets offer a unique, forward-looking view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular player winning the NFL scrimmage yards race. As more shares are purchased for a player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of that player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, injuries, and overall sentiment regarding each player’s potential performance. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the NFL’s official statistics verify the player with the most scrimmage yards at the end of the regular season. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the winner, and the outcome will be verified against credible public reporting. This ensures a transparent and accurate resolution process for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of a key contender would shift probabilities. Strong or weak performances in early-season games will also be influential, providing concrete data points for traders to react to. Unexpected trades or changes in team offensive schemes could also move the market. Finally, any news regarding player health, coaching decisions, or changes in player roles will likely cause fluctuations in the odds on Polymarket.