TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 4 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 4 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often incorporating information and analysis that may not be immediately reflected in traditional sportsbook odds. While there can be alignment, differences often emerge due to varying levels of information, analytical approaches, and risk tolerance among market participants. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines as new information becomes available, such as player injuries or changes in team strategy. This can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular player leading the league in rushing touchdowns. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a player, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the NFL regular season concludes and the league leader in rushing touchdowns is verified against credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be the determining factor. The player with the most rushing touchdowns at the end of the regular season will be declared the winner of this market. Any ties will be resolved according to the NFL’s official tie-breaking procedures.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are always a major catalyst; an injury to a leading contender would likely shift odds dramatically. Changes in team offensive schemes or the performance of offensive lines could also influence a player’s chances. Unexpected breakout performances from lesser-known running backs could also cause movement. Finally, any news regarding player suspensions or changes in coaching staff could also affect how traders assess the probabilities in this market.