TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 3:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 4 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more receiving yards in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per reception average in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 4 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more receiving yards in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per reception average in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and to balance action, while this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders. You may find that this market anticipates changes before sportsbooks do, or that it assigns different probabilities to certain outcomes based on information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the season, as new information emerges and the market adjusts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular player leading the league in receiving touchdowns. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more shares are traded, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of each player's chances. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on news, injuries, and performance.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player officially recognized by the NFL as leading the league in receiving touchdowns at the end of the 2026-27 regular season will be the winning outcome. The NFL’s official statistics will serve as the final determination, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution. Any ties will be resolved according to the NFL’s tie-breaking procedures, as publicly documented.
Numerous factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of a key receiver dramatically alters the landscape. Significant changes in team offensive schemes or quarterback play also influence expectations. Unexpected breakout performances by lesser-known players could drive up their share prices, while underperformance from favorites could lead to a sell-off. News regarding player trades or suspensions will also be closely watched by traders, causing rapid shifts in the market as they reassess probabilities.