TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 4 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 4 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. If sportsbooks heavily favor a particular player, this market might show a more distributed probability if traders believe other players have a reasonable chance of leading the league in passing touchdowns. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for Week 4 of the 2026-27 season are released and the player with the most passing touchdowns is verified against credible public reporting. The final standings will be the determining factor, and the player with the highest number of passing touchdowns at the conclusion of Week 4 will be declared the winner of this market. Any ties will be resolved according to the official NFL tie-breaking procedures.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst; if a top quarterback is sidelined, their shares will likely decrease while others could increase. Preseason performance and training camp reports will also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected trades or changes in team dynamics could shift expectations. Furthermore, any news regarding offensive play-calling strategies or changes in coaching staff could move the market. Finally, even late-breaking news about weather conditions expected during Week 4 could affect passing game projections and influence trading activity.