TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This prediction market asks which NFL team will score the most points in Week 4 of the 2026-27 regular season. The markets cover all 32 NFL teams, allowing users to bet on a specific team to have the highest score for that week. Resolution is based on official NFL statistics.
This market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most points in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 4 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied team with more offensive touchdowns in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with more total offensive yards (rushing yards plus passing yards) in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which team scored the most points within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
All markets resolve based on whether the named team finishes with the highest points scored in Week 4 of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season. If the team achieves this outcome, the market resolves to 'Yes.' In cases where multiple teams are tied for the highest score, 'Yes' positions receive a payout of $1 divided by the number of tied teams (rounded down to the nearest cent), while 'No' positions receive one minus this payout value. These rules apply uniformly across all team-specific markets, with no exceptions or additional conditions beyond the primary determination of highest-scoring status and tie-handling methodology.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi on this market can arise from several factors. Differences in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-making strategies contribute to varying price discovery processes. Polymarket may attract a different class of traders with unique information or risk appetites compared to Kalshi. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform—currently $6,205 overall—influences price stability and responsiveness to new information. These factors can lead to differing probabilities for the same outcome, even though both platforms address the same question regarding the highest-scoring team in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL season.
Numerous factors could influence trading activity in this market. Significant player injuries, coaching changes, or unexpected team performance during the early part of the 2026-27 NFL season could all shift expectations. Pre-season game results and news regarding team strategies or offensive/defensive capabilities will likely impact probabilities. Major upsets in other Week 4 games could also indirectly affect the perceived value of different teams. Any news that alters the perceived scoring potential of teams will likely cause movement in this market.