TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Pro Baseball Championship Winning Division
kalshi

Which division will win Pro Baseball Championship?

Volume:
$109,167

NL Central

 - Kalshi

NL Central - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 11:16 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

NL Central

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,507
N/A
N/A
$15,258
3w 6d 15h
Yes
kalshi

NL West

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,542
N/A
N/A
$9,692
3w 6d 15h
No
kalshi

AL Central

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,117
N/A
N/A
$13,623
3w 6d 15h
No
kalshi

AL East

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,891
N/A
N/A
$7,244
3w 6d 15h
No
kalshi

NL East

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,111
N/A
N/A
$7,079
3w 6d 15h
No
kalshi

AL West

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 6d 15h
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether the winner of the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship will come from a specific division. Each division represents a group of teams competing against one another for the chance to advance to the championship. The outcome depends on which division's team ultimately claims the championship title.

Kalshi

The event determines if the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship winner originates from any of the six major divisions: AL East, AL Central, AL West, NL East, NL Central, or NL West. Each market corresponds to one division, resolving to 'Yes' if a team from that specific division wins the championship. A team's division affiliation is locked in at the start of the championship, meaning any mid-season divisional changes do not affect eligibility. The markets are independent, and only the specific division market matching the actual winner will resolve affirmatively; all others resolve to 'No.' Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official ties to Major League Baseball, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the MLB division winners market tracks the current prices for each team to win their respective division. You’ll find a price representing the probability of each outcome, as well as a history of how those prices have changed over time. The 24-hour volume, representing the amount of trading activity in the last day, is also displayed. Currently, the total volume for this market is $109,167 and the 24-hour volume is $12,342. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities.

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on statistical models and subjective evaluations, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their money where their predictions are. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly when there’s significant uncertainty or when analysts are influenced by biases. This can be a valuable tool for identifying undervalued or overvalued outcomes, as the market prices can sometimes be more accurate than individual predictions.

This market resolves around Nov 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final standings of each MLB division at the end of the regular season will determine the winners. The team with the best record in each division will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. Any tiebreakers will be resolved according to official MLB rules, and the resulting division winners will be used to settle the market.

Numerous factors could influence the prices in this market between now and Nov 30, 2026. Key player injuries, significant trades, and unexpected team performance shifts are all potential catalysts. A star player getting injured could drastically lower a team’s chances, while a major trade could improve another team’s prospects. Even a prolonged losing or winning streak can significantly impact market sentiment. Monitoring these events and their potential impact on team performance is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on price movements.