TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns which two Major League Baseball teams will face each other in the Pro Baseball Championship Series. The market will resolve based on the official confirmation of the matchup between any combination of eligible teams from both the American and National Leagues.
The Pro Baseball Championship Series matchup is confirmed when both teams secure the right to participate through winning prerequisite games, meeting tournament criteria, receiving selection, or otherwise officially advancing. Resolution occurs immediately upon qualification of both teams, not when the game is actually played. Each market represents a specific pairing of two teams that could potentially meet in the Championship Series.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential World Series matchups, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the teams' chances. This creates a dynamic and efficient way to forecast the final matchup.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual teams competing in the Pro Baseball Championship Series are verified against credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the correct matchup and 0 for all others. The resolution will be based on the official announcement of the teams participating in the series, as reported by major sports news outlets and the league itself. Traders should monitor official announcements for the definitive outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the probabilities reflected in this market. Major player injuries, unexpected team performance during the regular season, and even managerial changes can all shift expectations. Any news regarding pitching rotations, key player health, or significant trades will likely cause trading activity and price adjustments. Additionally, the outcomes of important games leading up to the playoffs, and the performance of teams in the playoff rounds themselves, will be closely watched by traders and could lead to substantial movements in the odds for the World Series matchup.