TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$172,394,893

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,821,572,886

404,136

Markets across

40,075

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Pro Baseball ALCS Qualifiers
kalshi

Who will qualify for the ALCS?

Volume:
$251,295

Cleveland

 - Kalshi

Cleveland - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 11:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cleveland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$93,989
N/A
N/A
$62,408
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,169
N/A
N/A
$12,924
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago WS

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,899
N/A
N/A
$38,187
Settled
No
kalshi

New York Y

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,668
N/A
N/A
$31,918
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,428
N/A
N/A
$8,362
Settled
No
kalshi

Boston

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,109
N/A
N/A
$5,102
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,033
N/A
N/A
$3,004
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Toronto

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets tracks which teams will secure a spot in the American League Championship Series for the 2026 professional baseball season. Each market focuses on a specific team's performance throughout the regular season and playoffs. The outcome depends on whether the designated team advances far enough in the postseason to reach the league's championship round.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on whether the specified team qualifies for the American League Championship Series (ALCS) during the 2026 Pro Baseball season. Qualification is determined by the team's performance in both the regular season and subsequent playoff rounds, culminating in a berth in the ALCS. Each market corresponds to a different team, and resolution occurs once the postseason structure and results are officially confirmed. All markets include a secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The resolution is binary—Yes if the team qualifies, No otherwise—based solely on official league determinations.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the ALCS qualifiers market tracks the current odds for each team to qualify, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $6,264, and the total volume traded to date, which is $251,295. This information allows traders to understand market sentiment and identify potential opportunities. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how participants are assessing the likelihood of different teams advancing in the playoffs.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on statistical models and team performance metrics, this market incorporates a broader range of information, including news, injuries, and even subjective factors. It’s common to see discrepancies between the implied probabilities from this market and those offered by experts, as traders can quickly adjust their positions based on new developments. This dynamic pricing can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions than static analyst ratings.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether a team will qualify for the ALCS. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability of that team qualifying rises. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price and reduces the implied probability. This mechanism allows the market to aggregate the collective wisdom of participants.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official list of teams qualifying for the ALCS is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the results of the playoff series determining which teams advance. The market will determine which teams successfully qualify based on the official standings and playoff results as reported by Major League Baseball. All outcomes will be verified against publicly available information to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several signals could significantly move this market. Unexpected injuries to key players on any of the contending teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major pitching changes or a team’s performance in crucial games leading up to the ALCS could also have a substantial impact. News regarding team morale, managerial decisions, or even weather forecasts affecting game schedules could all influence trading activity. Any developments that alter the perceived chances of a team qualifying will be quickly reflected in the prices within this market.