TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 1:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between two teams in the Czech National Football League. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants are interested in predicting which team will win or if the game will end in a draw.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Pribram vs Trinec professional Czech National Football League soccer match scheduled for October 16, 2026: a win for Pribram, a win for Trinec, or a tie. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootout results. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The platform disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate assessment of probabilities, particularly as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may highlight areas where the market perceives information differently.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand—if more people believe Pribram will win, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast of the event’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pribram vs Trinec match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Pribram or Trinec would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also influence the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could drive price movements. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi by informed traders could also cause noticeable shifts in the market’s pricing.