TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Priadko Yurii and Aldayev Denis in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 5 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Priadko Yurii' if Priadko Yurii wins against Aldayev Denis. This market will resolve to 'Aldayev Denis' if Aldayev Denis wins against Priadko Yurii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Priadko Yurii and Aldayev Denis in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 5 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Priadko Yurii' if Priadko Yurii wins against Aldayev Denis. This market will resolve to 'Aldayev Denis' if Aldayev Denis wins against Priadko Yurii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the event’s outcome. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or shifts in public opinion regarding the Priadko vs. Aldayev match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time estimate of the event’s likelihood. This contrasts with fixed-odds betting, where odds are set by a bookmaker and remain constant until the event begins.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Priadko vs. Aldayev match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition could shift the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, as well as expert analysis and predictions, could also impact market sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match, such as changes in the venue or rules, could also cause fluctuations in the price of shares. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning will likely move this market.