TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Preston and Millwall. It evaluates whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Preston and Millwall in their EFL Championship match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any added stoppage time; goals from extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market settling to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance their risk, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of trading activity occurs, as the market seeks to establish a consensus view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, various total goal ranges for the Preston vs Millwall match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the match approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Preston vs Millwall match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football league, accounting for any extra time played but excluding penalty shootouts. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that accurately reflects the total goals scored in the match, and 0 for all other possible outcomes.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Preston or Millwall would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal total. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable football analysts predicting a high-scoring or low-scoring game could sway trader sentiment and move the market accordingly.