TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming soccer match between Preston and Millwall, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of goals. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winner in the Preston vs Millwall EFL Championship match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Four distinct outcome scenarios are considered: Preston winning by more than 2.5 goals, Preston winning by more than 1.5 goals, Millwall winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Millwall winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootout results. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. As more information becomes available—such as team news or weather forecasts—and as the event draws nearer, the odds on Kalshi may converge with, diverge from, or even anticipate changes in sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the final result.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Preston vs Millwall match, specifically the spread as determined by official sources. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual result. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key injuries to star players on either Preston or Millwall would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, managerial decisions, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could also shift the odds. Major news stories related to the teams, such as disciplinary issues or off-field controversies, could also influence trader sentiment and move the market. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for making informed predictions.