TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Premiership Rugby match between Harlequins and Saracens, scheduled for October 25 2026.
This event is for the upcoming Premiership Rugby match between Harlequins and Saracens, scheduled for October 25 2026.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. Comparing the odds can highlight where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probability of a particular outcome in the Harlequins vs Saracens match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction venues.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Harlequins vs Saracens match as reported by Premiership Rugby. The platform will verify the result against readily available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Harlequins or Saracens would likely have a significant impact. Any news regarding team form, tactical changes, or weather conditions leading up to the match could also drive price movements. Unexpected announcements related to player availability, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment expressed through media coverage could all contribute to changes in the market's assessment of the likely outcome of the Harlequins vs Saracens match.