TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple prediction markets on the Nashville Predators vs. Vancouver Canucks NHL game scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread (-1.5), and multiple over/under total goals markets at different thresholds (2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use mathematically equivalent but linguistically different threshold conventions for over/under markets. Kalshi states thresholds as decimal values (2.5, 3.5, etc.) while Polymarket states them the same way but resolves based on integer goal counts that differ by one unit.Hero Tip:
Map each market pair explicitly: Kalshi over 4.5 = Polymarket O/U 4.5 (both require 5+ goals). Kalshi over 3.5 = 4+ goals (no Polymarket equivalent). Use this mapping to identify true arbitrage opportunities and avoid false cross-platform comparisons.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Eight over/under markets using decimal thresholds (2.5 through 9.5). Resolution: Yes if combined goals exceed the stated threshold. Example: over 4.5 resolves Yes if 5 or more goals scored. Quote: 'If over 4.5 total combined goals are scored... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Four over/under markets using decimal labels (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) with explicit integer goal triggers. Resolution: Over if combined goals meet or exceed the trigger value. Example: O/U 4.5 resolves Over if 5 or more goals. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Predators and Canucks combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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