TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between Prat and Ibiza Sant Rafel FC, focusing solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win during regulation time, excluding any outcomes determined in extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends entirely on the match's final score within the standard playing duration.
The event resolves based on the result of the Prat vs Ibiza Sant Rafel FC professional Copa del Rey soccer game originally scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Prat wins, Ibiza Sant Rafel FC wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, with no account taken of extra time or penalty shootouts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their book, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price on Kalshi to reflect their collective view. It’s common to see this market move closer to the eventual outcome as more information becomes available and traders react to news and analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the likely result of the Prat vs Ibiza Sant Rafel match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the regulation time moneyline for the Prat vs Ibiza Sant Rafel FC match. No extra time or penalty shootouts will be considered for resolution. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the settlement for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the match location could also play a role, as could updates on team form and recent performance. Major tactical announcements or pre-match analysis from reputable sources might also cause movement. Even public opinion and betting trends observed elsewhere could influence trading activity on Kalshi leading up to Oct 4, 2026.