TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Prat and Ibiza Sant Rafel FC in the Preliminary Round of the Copa del Rey. The contest determines which team progresses to the next stage of the competition, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both clubs in this specific encounter.
If Prat advance past Ibiza Sant Rafel FC in the Prat vs Ibiza Sant Rafel FC soccer tie in the Preliminary Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ibiza Sant Rafel FC advance past Prat in the Prat vs Ibiza Sant Rafel FC soccer tie in the Preliminary Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by informed traders expressing their true beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. While sportsbook odds can be useful, prediction markets can sometimes provide more accurate forecasts, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. It's a good practice to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Prat vs Ibiza Sant Rafel FC match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if a specific outcome occurs, effectively representing the implied probability.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Prat vs Ibiza Sant Rafel FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine which contracts pay out based on the final score and the conditions defined for each outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large volume of contracts traded on a particular outcome – could also cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved is key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s predictions.