TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 6:04 PM EST
Kalshi
In the Prat versus Bilbao Copa del Rey tie, one side will move on to the next round. The market will show whether Prat or Bilbao accomplishes this progression, with resolution after all match phases including extra time and penalties if required.
Markets resolve based on which team advances from the tie in the 1st Round of the Copa del Rey. If Prat advances past Bilbao, the 'Prat advances' market resolves to Yes. If Bilbao advances past Prat, the 'Bilbao advances' market resolves to Yes. References to FIFA are descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many traders rather than relying on a single bookmaker’s assessment. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer more favorable pricing, particularly if they are trying to balance their risk exposure. It’s common to see differences in probabilities assigned to outcomes, and these discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders. Comparing the two can give a broader perspective on the likely result of this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly updating their beliefs, which drives the price fluctuations you observe on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Prat vs Bilbao match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure an accurate and impartial outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the teams’ strategies or performance could also have a significant impact. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also play a role, though the market is driven by actual trading activity. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential movements in this market leading up to Oct 29, 2026.