TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 6:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the pickleball match between Anna Leigh Waters and Carlota Trevino in Veolia Chicago Cup, scheduled for October 7 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Waters' if Anna Leigh Waters wins against Carlota Trevino. This market will resolve to 'Trevino' if Carlota Trevino wins against Anna Leigh Waters. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one side advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the side that advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a side withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official results published by the Professional Pickleball Association (https://ppatour.com/).
This market refers to the pickleball match between Anna Leigh Waters and Carlota Trevino in Veolia Chicago Cup, scheduled for October 7 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Waters' if Anna Leigh Waters wins against Carlota Trevino. This market will resolve to 'Trevino' if Carlota Trevino wins against Anna Leigh Waters. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one side advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the side that advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a side withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official results published by the Professional Pickleball Association (https://ppatour.com/).
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting and carries its own inherent biases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news, player form, and other relevant factors, constantly adjusting the probabilities until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the PPA Women's Singles match, determining which player ultimately wins the competition. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to verify the winner and finalize the market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes in form for either Anna Leigh Waters or Carlota Trevino would likely cause shifts in the odds. Tournament results leading up to the match, particularly performances in similar events, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about playing conditions or strategic changes could also move the market. Finally, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence the perceived probabilities.