TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Greece Super League between two teams. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a tie based on the result after the full regulation time.
The event resolves based on the result of the POT Iraklis vs Levadiakos professional Greece Super League soccer match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If POT Iraklis wins, the 'POT Iraklis' market resolves to Yes. If Levadiakos wins, the 'Levadiakos' market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the outcome after regulation time, with no account for post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates opinions from individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the Iraklis vs Levadiakos match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Iraklis vs Levadiakos match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. As more trades occur, the price converges towards what the market believes is the fair value of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Iraklis vs Levadiakos match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Any official announcements regarding the match result will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Key events include any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions affecting the match, or significant shifts in public opinion regarding the teams' chances of winning. Unexpected announcements or controversies surrounding either Iraklis or Levadiakos could also lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions and potentially capitalize on market movements.