TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Greece Super League between two teams. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a tie based on the full regulation time result.
The event resolves based on the full regulation time result of the POT Iraklis vs Kifisia professional Greece Super League soccer match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the match ends in a tie during regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading contracts, potentially causing the prediction market price to diverge. It’s common to see differences, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Iraklis vs Kifisia match. The price of each contract reflects the probability that outcome will occur, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, analysis, and their own risk tolerance, leading to dynamic price movements. The market aggregates this collective intelligence to provide a forward-looking estimate of the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Iraklis vs Kifisia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event. The market will then settle, and contracts will pay out based on whether the purchased contract reflects the correct result. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their initial investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, especially if they favor one team’s playing style. Furthermore, major betting trends or analysis from sports commentators could sway public opinion and drive trading volume. Even seemingly minor developments can be amplified by traders seeking to capitalize on information advantages.