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2,984,028,936

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417,059

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40,178

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Portugal vs. Norway
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Portugal vs. Norway?

Volume:
$11,645,195

Portugal

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 6:48 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Portugal

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,515,080
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Portugal

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,485,706
N/A
N/A
$1,439,703
Settled
Yes
predict

PRT

View
99%
39%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$38,551
$322,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

NOR

View
1%
20%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$6,466
$88,386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Norway

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,593,064
N/A
N/A
$1,780,017
Settled
No
polymarket

Norway

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$241,522
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
20%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$6,655
$29,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200,353
N/A
N/A
$549,450
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Portugal vs. Norway)

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$168,913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Portugal and Norway, forecasting whether Portugal will win on October 4, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Portugal winning is 100.0%, aggregating views from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Keep an eye on the match itself on October 4, 2026, to see if Portugal secures the win as currently predicted.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, focusing on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and share a consistent hierarchy of data sources for resolution.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.
  • Official match statistics are the primary resolution source, with Flashscore, Sofascore, and consensus reporting as fallbacks.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion, potentially resolving to a 50-50 split if data remains unavailable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Portugal and Norway.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Portugal vs Norway UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes'. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price according to platform rules.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Portugal and Norway.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Portugal vs. Norway match. Currently, the consensus view across both platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one particular result. Total volume for this market is $11,645,195, with $11,069,934 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to see how traders are collectively assessing the probabilities of different scenarios, providing a unique perspective beyond traditional odds. The dashboard tracks the probabilities as they shift based on user activity on each platform, offering a dynamic view of expectations for the Portugal vs. Norway match.

Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when significant information isn't yet reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks typically offer more variety in betting options. The volume of $11,645,195 suggests active trading in this market, and comparing these odds to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal interesting discrepancies for the Portugal vs. Norway match.