TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$279,496,801
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OPEN INTEREST:
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416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Portugal (-1.5)
- Polymarket
Portugal (-1.5) - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 14, 2026
Time left: 11d:14h:19m
$
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Portugal and Denmark, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Portugal and Denmark, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes in the Portugal vs. Denmark match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of how each is priced. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional odds, especially as new developments emerge leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Portugal vs. Denmark match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. Currently, the most likely outcome, Spread: Denmark (-2.5), has a probability of 99.0% according to traders on Polymarket, with a total volume of n/a. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Portugal vs. Denmark match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in this market. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable data to ensure a fair and accurate settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could significantly shift expectations for the Portugal vs. Denmark match. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the teams’ performance or strategies could also drive trading volume and price adjustments. Public sentiment, as reflected in news articles and social media, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.