TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Portsmouth and Millwall, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether the winning team achieves specific goal-differential thresholds.
The event evaluates multiple outcome scenarios for the Portsmouth vs Millwall EFL Championship match scheduled for October 24, 2026, each defined by a distinct goal-differential threshold. A 'Yes' resolution occurs if Portsmouth wins by more than 2.5 goals or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Millwall wins by more than 1.5 goals or by more than 2.5 goals, all assessed after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. The resolution hinges entirely on the final score differential, with no consideration for other match factors. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of events in the Portsmouth vs Millwall match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Portsmouth vs Millwall match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater expectation that the spread will fall in a particular range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on Kalshi, offering a dynamic assessment of the potential outcome. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Portsmouth vs Millwall match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final outcome of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Portsmouth or Millwall would likely impact the price. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements from team management or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade effectively.