TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 2.5 goals scored
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 01d:21h:28m
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This group forecasts the total goals scored in the Champions League match between Porto and Napoli on November 4, 2026. Markets are based on whether the total goals exceed specific thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc.).
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored during the Porto versus Napoli Champions League match scheduled for November 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks, must exceed the respective threshold. All markets share the same underlying match and timing conditions, ensuring consistency across outcomes. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, noting that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by FC Porto and Napoli is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the UEFA Champions League match scheduled for November 4, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Limitless, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, whereas sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets may incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives. Sportsbooks also factor in a profit margin, which isn’t necessarily present in prediction markets. While both aim to predict the outcome of events, the mechanisms and underlying philosophies differ, potentially resulting in varying probabilities for this market. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently with new information.
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Kalshi and Limitless for the Porto vs Napoli goals market may differ due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific market design—how contracts are structured and traded—can vary between Kalshi and Limitless. These differences, combined with varying levels of information and risk appetite among traders on each platform, contribute to potential price discrepancies. It's also possible that early trading activity on one platform influences the other, but the extent of this effect can change over time.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Porto vs Napoli match – will be sourced from official match data. The market will settle based on this verified total, determining which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand how this market will be resolved.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 5, 2026. Key events include any news regarding injuries or suspensions to key players on either Porto or Napoli, as this directly impacts scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly those affecting the playing surface, could also influence the market. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical approaches might also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public endorsements or analyses from respected football commentators could sway the market’s direction.