TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Porto and Estoril. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the match's final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Porto vs Estoril professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of goals: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time, must exceed the respective threshold. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from all calculations. All markets share the same underlying match and time parameters, ensuring consistency across thresholds. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, and can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. While both aim to predict the outcome of the Porto vs Estoril match, this market’s pricing can diverge from sportsbook lines due to differing information and analytical approaches. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Porto vs Estoril match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The current price indicates what it costs to take a position on a specific total goals outcome, and the market aggregates these individual assessments into a collective forecast.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of goals scored in the Porto vs Estoril match, as officially recorded by the governing football authorities. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered; only goals scored during regular play will count towards the final outcome of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their contract positions shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence the pricing of this market before the match takes place. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Porto or Estoril would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact traders' expectations. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or any late-breaking news related to the match, could lead to rapid price adjustments. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of different total goal outcomes has the potential to move this market.