TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Porto vs Estoril: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Porto vs Estoril?

Volume:
$61,081

Porto wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Porto wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 6:30 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Porto wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,928
N/A
N/A
$9,564
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Porto wins by more than 1.5 goals

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,025
N/A
N/A
$9,007
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Porto wins by more than 3.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,910
N/A
N/A
$5,390
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Porto wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,522
N/A
N/A
$12,711
Settled
No
kalshi

Porto wins by more than 5.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
$297
Settled
No
kalshi

Estoril wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Estoril wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Porto and Estoril, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals each team scores during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Different thresholds define whether the market resolves positively for each possible winning scenario.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Porto vs Estoril professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, based solely on regular time results—specifically, the goal differential after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct conditions determine a 'Yes' resolution: Porto winning by more than 2.5 goals, Porto winning by more than 1.5 goals, Estoril winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Estoril winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each condition represents a different threshold for victory margin, allowing for varied market interpretations of a decisive win. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The outcome hinges exclusively on the final score within regular time, with no consideration given to postseason or tie-breaking procedures.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Porto vs Estoril match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the perceived probability of different outcomes fluctuates in real-time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $61,081, with $55,271 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a clear view of market activity and how opinions are shifting leading up to the event. The dashboard is a central hub for monitoring the market’s dynamics.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes a different result is more likely than the sportsbook suggests, or that information not yet incorporated into sportsbook lines is present in the prediction market. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Porto vs Estoril match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the verified outcome. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these teams could also influence sentiment. Furthermore, major tactical announcements from either coach or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.