TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
Observing the Champions League clash between Porto and Eindhoven, this event resolves based on whether both clubs score during the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
If Porto and Eindhoven both score a goal in the Porto vs Eindhoven Champions League match originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market allows for more collective analysis. If sportsbook odds suggest a lower probability of both teams scoring than what is indicated by the price on Kalshi, it could present an arbitrage opportunity for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing interpretations of available information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Porto vs Eindhoven match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a 'Yes' outcome; conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Porto and Eindhoven score at least one goal during regular play in the match. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Porto or Eindhoven would significantly impact expectations regarding goal-scoring potential. Tactical changes announced by either manager, particularly those affecting attacking formations, could also shift the market. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might influence the likelihood of goals. Finally, any significant news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price movements in this market.