TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Inaki Montes in the Porto 2, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Inaki Montes. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes' if Inaki Montes advances against Henrique Rocha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Inaki Montes in the Porto 2, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Inaki Montes. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes' if Inaki Montes advances against Henrique Rocha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of individuals incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. If significant differences exist, it might suggest the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Porto 2 tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the Porto 2 tennis match’s potential results. This differs from fixed-odds betting, where prices are set by a bookmaker.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Porto 2 tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Inaki Montes, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also affect perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook regarding the Porto 2 tennis match, potentially causing significant price movements.