TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 3.5 total goals will be scored in the Portland versus Houston professional MLS soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 3.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the match, specifically if over 5.5 goals are scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as defined by the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the match itself, scheduled for November 1, 2026, as the outcome hinges on the total goals scored during that fixture.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Portland vs Houston professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) is exceeded. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets and sportsbooks have different risk profiles and attract different types of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s potential. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time forecast of the total goals scored.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Portland vs Houston match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to 100 for the correct total goals outcome and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will lose their investment.
Several factors could influence the Portland vs Houston goals market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Additionally, any significant tactical adjustments announced by either coach, or even pre-game analysis from respected soccer commentators, could influence traders’ perceptions and lead to price fluctuations in this market.