TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Portland will win its professional MLS soccer game against Houston. Currently, Kalshi gives Portland a 99.0% probability of winning, while Houston is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result reported by the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve to ‘Yes’ if Portland wins within the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time on November 1, 2026.
The market resolves based on the result of the Portland vs Houston MLS soccer game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Portland wins, the 'Portland' market resolves to Yes. If Houston wins, the 'Houston' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing traders to express their views and converge on a collective forecast for the Portland vs Houston game. This dynamic pricing mechanism is central to how Kalshi operates.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Portland vs Houston game, as reported by a trusted source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and official sources leading up to this date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected team performance could shift trader sentiment. Major announcements about game conditions, such as weather forecasts impacting outdoor games, could also play a role. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed traders can sometimes indicate new information or a change in outlook, causing the market to react quickly. Monitoring these factors is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.