TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Portland and Colorado. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
The markets resolve based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Portland vs Colorado MLS soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout scenarios are explicitly excluded from the goal count for resolution purposes. All markets share the same underlying event — the official result of the match as recorded by the MLS governing body — and resolve independently according to their respective thresholds. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the Portland vs Colorado match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total goals scored. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of goals scored in the Portland vs Colorado match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will be paid out according to the market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Portland or Colorado would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical changes could also shift the market. Finally, as the match draws closer, any public statements from coaches or players regarding their scoring expectations could influence trading activity in this market.