TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:41 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many goals will be scored in an upcoming MLS soccer match between Portland and Charlotte. Each outcome represents a different threshold of total goals, with higher thresholds requiring more scoring overall. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the Portland vs Charlotte professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout scenarios are explicitly excluded from consideration. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, that particular market resolves to 'Yes.' The outcome hinges exclusively on the final score at the end of regular time, with no regard for post-match tiebreakers or additional periods. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of events than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets aggregate the knowledge and insights of a diverse group of traders, incentivized to make correct predictions. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases or limitations in their modeling, this market benefits from the 'wisdom of the crowd'. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison, and significant discrepancies between the two may present potential trading opportunities. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various total goal counts. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market price closely reflects the current expectations of the crowd. The goal is to forecast the final total goals scored.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final total goals scored in the Portland vs Charlotte match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final score.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Portland or Charlotte would likely impact the predicted goal total. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, might also play a role. Finally, any tactical changes announced by the coaches, or even pre-game analysis suggesting a different approach to the game, could lead to shifts in the market as traders adjust their expectations.