TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:43 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Portland and Charlotte, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different threshold values for determining a decisive win. The result is based solely on the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various winning margins in the Portland vs. Charlotte MLS soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Portland winning by more than 2.5 goals, Portland winning by more than 1.5 goals, Charlotte winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Charlotte winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined exclusively by the score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time; extra time periods and penalty kicks are not considered in any outcome. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the required goal-differential victory as defined in its respective rule. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, with all trademarks and branding belonging to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public bias or sharp action. Sportsbooks often adjust their lines based on betting patterns, but this market allows for continuous price discovery driven by a diverse group of participants. While sportsbooks may offer more traditional betting options, this market provides a unique opportunity to express beliefs about the game’s outcome and profit from accurate predictions. It's common to see convergence between the two as the event approaches, but discrepancies can exist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the game's spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater expectation that Portland will cover the spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as those who correctly anticipate the outcome can profit from their trades. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a dynamic and informative view of the anticipated result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Portland versus Charlotte game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 if Portland covers the spread, and 0 if Charlotte covers. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official results are available.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either Portland or Charlotte would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also impact the market. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to changes in trading activity. Late-breaking news regarding weather conditions or other external factors that might affect the game could also play a role in how this market trends.