TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:19 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Portland Timbers and Colorado Rapids SC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portland Timbers" if Portland Timbers are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rapids SC" if Colorado Rapids SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Portland Timbers and Colorado Rapids SC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portland Timbers" if Portland Timbers are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rapids SC" if Colorado Rapids SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team statistics and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or risk management. This market, however, allows individuals to express their beliefs directly, potentially leading to odds that more accurately represent the true probability of either the Timbers or the Rapids scoring first. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price differences between venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of them scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's efficiency is driven by traders actively adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the upcoming match between the Timbers and Rapids.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, the Portland Timbers or Colorado Rapids SC, scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score, based on the odds at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to the match. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Timbers or the Rapids would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived likelihood of either team scoring early. Even pre-game analysis from sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could trigger increased trading volume and price adjustments in this market.