TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Portland Thorns FC vs. Boston Legacy FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Portland Thorns FC vs. Boston Legacy FC?

Volume:
$222,608

Boston Legacy FC

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 10:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Boston Legacy FC

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69,561
N/A
N/A
$41,273
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Boston Legacy FC

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Portland Thorns

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,496
N/A
N/A
$45,220
Settled
No
polymarket

Portland Thorns FC

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,506
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,866
N/A
N/A
$22,615
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Portland Thorns FC vs. Boston Legacy FC)

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,078
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a single professional women's soccer (NWSL) match between the Portland Thorns FC and Boston Legacy FC scheduled for October 3, 2026. Markets cover which team will win or if the game will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same event (90 minutes + stoppage time) and share consistent fallback procedures for official data unavailability.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (NWSSL).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' for a team win if that team has the higher score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' for a draw if the score is tied at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Delay: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • No Acceptable Data: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the markets will resolve 50-50, or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official results are available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours from the event's conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Portland Thorns FC and Boston Legacy FC.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Portland Thorns vs Boston Legacy FC match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either team-specific market occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time; draws result in the 'Tie' market resolving to 'Yes.' If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per platform guidelines. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect market resolution, which strictly considers the standing at the end of regulation time.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals, creating a “wisdom of the crowd” effect. This can lead to more accurate predictions, particularly when there’s significant public information available. However, sportsbooks often have higher liquidity and may react more quickly to breaking news. The spread between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can sometimes indicate potential value for arbitrage opportunities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi often arise due to variations in trader demographics, market liquidity, and differing interpretations of available information regarding the teams’ performance and potential strategies. Polymarket may attract a different class of traders than Kalshi, leading to varying risk appetites and predictive accuracy. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform influences price discovery; lower volume can result in greater price volatility and divergence. These factors contribute to the observed differences in the NWSL championship market.