TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:22h:43m
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This group covers the college football game between Portland State and Montana scheduled for November 7th. Markets exist on who will win the game, as well as the point spread, and the total points scored. Several markets exist on Polymarket and Kalshi with differing point spreads.
In the upcoming college football game between Portland State and Montana, scheduled for November 7 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portland State" if Portland State win the game. This market will resolve to "Montana" if Montana win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the Portland State versus Montana college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within that 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets for each team are separate, with each resolving to 'Yes' only if that specific team wins the game.
In the upcoming college football game between Portland State and Montana, scheduled for November 7 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portland State" if Portland State win the game. This market will resolve to "Montana" if Montana win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different type of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to different probabilities being assigned to the same event. Generally, prediction markets are considered to be more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, particularly when there is significant trading volume. The current volume on this market is $1,958.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading incentives, and liquidity. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform might not be identical, leading to differing perceptions of value. For example, one platform may offer a spread-based market, while the other focuses on a simple win/loss outcome. These variations in market structure and participant behavior contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both are tracking the Portland State vs. Montana game.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Portland State vs. Montana game, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders should monitor news sources for updates as the resolution date approaches. The current volume for this market is $1,958, indicating active trader interest in predicting the outcome.
Several signals could influence the probabilities in this market. Key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all shift expectations. News reports regarding team morale or significant roster adjustments would also likely impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create momentum and influence prices. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Nov 7, 2026 resolution.