TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses various scoring thresholds for a college football game between Portland State and Northern Arizona. Participants predict whether the combined points scored by both teams will exceed specific numerical values. The outcomes depend entirely on the final score of the match.
The market resolves based on whether the total points scored by both teams in the Portland St. vs Northern Arizona college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 42.5 to 82.5 points. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official score. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold chosen.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move to reflect that collective opinion. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point values for the Portland St. vs Northern Arizona game. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that specific point total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The closer we get to the game, the more volatile the prices may become as new information and predictions come to light, influencing trader behavior.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the Portland St. vs Northern Arizona game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts corresponding to the actual total points scored will settle at 100, while those with differing totals will settle at 0. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Portland St. or Northern Arizona teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions that favor a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and alter the prices on Kalshi. Public perception and betting trends from sportsbooks may also play a role.