TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Portland Pilots vs. Seattle Redhawks (W)
Volume:
$55,087
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Portland Pilots and Seattle Redhawks scheduled for February 21, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market definition contains a logical contradiction: it specifies Yes resolution for both possible game outcomes (Portland win and Seattle win), leaving no valid condition for a No resolution in a completed game. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary instrument.Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket for this event. Polymarket offers a true binary structure with clear winner-takes-all logic and explicit handling of postponement and cancellation. Kalshi's market structure is logically broken and poses unacceptable settlement risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: True binary market with mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to the winning team name. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50 split. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Purports to be Yes/No binary but defines Yes for both Portland win and Seattle win outcomes. No valid condition specified for No resolution in a completed game, creating logical impossibility.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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