TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Port FC and Rayong FC in Thailand's top league. The result is determined solely by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Port FC vs Rayong FC Thai League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Port FC, a win for Rayong FC, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the teams are level after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly applies to the result after normal time, excluding any extra time periods or penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade in a way that moves the prediction market price closer to their collective assessment. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability of that outcome rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. This differs from fixed-odds betting, where the odds are set by the bookmaker and don’t change based on public opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Port FC vs Rayong FC match, as reported by official sports authorities. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to view the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 24, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or significant tactical adjustments announced by the managers, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in expectations, causing the odds to move accordingly. Public opinion and media coverage can also play a role, though to a lesser extent.