TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 9, 2026, 17:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 9, 2026, 17:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective predictions of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the likelihood of a particular outcome. It's worth comparing both to gain a more comprehensive understanding of potential results.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders regarding the probability of that outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of it occurring. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing system aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Portuguese Primeira Liga match between Moreirense and GIL Vicente, as reported by a trusted sporting news source. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the outcome. The total volume traded in this market is $5,181.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Moreirense or GIL Vicente could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Limitless could indicate informed traders taking positions based on non-public information, causing the odds to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.