TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 12, 2026, 19:15 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 12, 2026, 19:15 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Limitless, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome. If a significant difference emerges between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it could suggest that the market identifies information not yet fully priced in by sportsbooks, or vice versa. Analyzing these discrepancies can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of market participants. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the odds will adjust accordingly. Currently, the market indicates that Famalicao is favored, although the exact probability is not available due to the lack of reported data. The 24-hour volume provides insight into how actively this market is being traded.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Portuguese Primeira Liga match between Famalicao and Alverca, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on any late-breaking news or developments. The final price of the winning outcome will reflect the market's collective prediction accuracy.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups for either Famalicao or Alverca would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions that could affect the match, or significant tactical adjustments announced by either manager, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, major upsets in other Primeira Liga matches could indirectly influence market sentiment. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on changing probabilities.