TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 10, 2026, 14:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 10, 2026, 14:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of many individuals, rather than relying on a sportsbook’s internal models. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical analysis and expert opinion, this market reflects real-money wagers and can quickly adjust to new information or changing sentiment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the possible outcomes of the Casa Pia versus Santa Clara match. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders regarding the probability of that outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current top outcome is Santa Clara, though the exact chance percentage is not available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Casa Pia versus Santa Clara match in the Portuguese Liga Portugal. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Casa Pia or Santa Clara would likely have an impact. Unexpected changes in player form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Limitless could cause noticeable price movements as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived opportunities.