TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 1:54 PM EST
Kalshi
The market resolves if Poland wins the women's FIFA World Cup qualifier against Belgium in regulation time on October 13, 2026. A win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties, leads to a Yes outcome.
The market resolves to Yes if Poland wins the match in regulation time—after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price. The market does not include outcomes from extra time or penalty kicks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real money changing hands. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s not uncommon to see prediction market odds diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Poland vs Belgium match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the regulation time moneyline – meaning the team that wins the match within the standard 90 minutes of play, or a draw if neither team wins. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purpose of determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Poland or Belgium would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, as traders react to evolving narratives. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the match itself are also likely to cause movement in this market.