TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an AFC Champions League soccer match between Pohang Steelers and Johor Darul Ta'zim, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold within regular time.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winning outcome in the Pohang Steelers vs Johor Darul Ta'zim AFC Champions League match scheduled for October 13, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Pohang Steelers win by more than either 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Johor Darul Ta'zim wins by more than either 2.5 or 1.5 goals. The governing rules explicitly state that the platform hosting these markets—Kalshi—is not affiliated with or endorsed by the league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, potentially incorporating biases or aiming to balance their risk. This market, however, allows anyone to trade and express their opinion, leading to odds that may be more accurate, especially as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, risk assessment, or simply varying opinions among bettors and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair price to pay for a contract that pays out if a specific outcome occurs in the Pohang Steelers vs Johor Darul Ta'zim match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Pohang Steelers vs Johor Darul Ta'zim match, specifically the spread as determined by official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The final spread will be the determining factor for settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could impact perceptions of each team’s chances. Unexpected weather conditions or even significant pre-match commentary from analysts could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in sentiment, causing the price to move rapidly as traders react to the latest developments surrounding the Pohang Steelers vs Johor Darul Ta'zim match.