TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Pohang Steelers and Jeju SK, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Pohang Steelers vs Jeju SK match based on the goal differential at the end of regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Four distinct conditions are considered: Pohang Steelers winning by more than 2.5 goals, Pohang Steelers winning by more than 1.5 goals, Jeju SK winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Jeju SK winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each condition corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified goal-differential condition is met. The resolution exclusively considers the final score after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty phases. All markets operate independently, meaning satisfaction of one condition does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the insights of many individuals. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s significant uncertainty or information asymmetry. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a common benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies between the two can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential results of the Pohang Steelers vs Jeju SK match. The current prices are a real-time representation of these expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Pohang Steelers vs Jeju SK match, specifically the spread as determined by official match statistics. The platform will verify the result against widely available and reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or even weather conditions could all shift traders’ expectations. Significant betting activity from large traders or institutions could also cause noticeable price movements. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or tactical approaches might impact the perceived likelihood of different outcomes. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to both the Pohang Steelers and Jeju SK will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.