TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Pohang Steelers and FC Anyang, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning and losing sides after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes for the Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang match scheduled for October 18, 2026, in the Korea K League 1, based on the goal differential after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' resolution occurs if Pohang Steelers win by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, or if FC Anyang wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals. The markets exclusively consider regular time and stoppage time, with no account for extra time or penalty phases. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to profit by attracting bets on both sides, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention on the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of the spread occurring in the Pohang Steelers versus FC Anyang match, as determined by the final score difference.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on the actual spread – the difference between the final scores of Pohang Steelers and FC Anyang – as officially recorded by the league. The market will determine which side of the spread was correct, based on the final result. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or even weather conditions could all shift expectations and impact the spread. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable for the match would likely cause significant movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also signal a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.