TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Europa League soccer match between Plzen and Levski Sofia, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Plzen vs Levski Sofia Europa League match scheduled for October 22, 2026. Four distinct market outcomes are considered, each tied to specific goal-margin thresholds: Plzen winning by more than 2.5 goals, Plzen winning by more than 1.5 goals, Levski Sofia winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Levski Sofia winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The governing rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets—Kalshi—is not officially affiliated with the league or teams involved, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the event, the odds here may diverge. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially when there's substantial public interest and trading volume.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices react to news and sentiment surrounding the Plzen vs Levski Sofia match.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Plzen vs Levski Sofia match, specifically the spread as determined by official game statistics. The final score and the resulting spread will be used to determine which contracts payout and at what value. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the match's completion.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions impacting the match could all cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements related to team strategy or coaching changes might also move the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence price movements as traders react to each other's actions and new information becomes available.