TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Plymouth and Huddersfield, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by regular time scoring, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios based on the goal differential between Plymouth and Huddersfield in their scheduled EFL League One match. Each scenario specifies a different threshold for victory margins: Plymouth winning by more than 2.5 goals, Plymouth winning by more than 1.5 goals, Huddersfield winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Huddersfield winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty outcomes. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can occur due to differing information or market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and perspectives. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand – if more people want to buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast of the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Plymouth vs Huddersfield match, as determined by official match statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predicted spread aligned with the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Plymouth or Huddersfield would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching changes could also shift the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades from individual participants could temporarily influence the price, though the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available.