TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Michael van Gerwen and Dominik Gruellich in the Players Championship, originally scheduled for October 29 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael van Gerwen' if Michael van Gerwen wins against Dominik Gruellich. This market will resolve to 'Dominik Gruellich' if Dominik Gruellich wins against Michael van Gerwen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Michael van Gerwen and Dominik Gruellich in the Players Championship, originally scheduled for October 29 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael van Gerwen' if Michael van Gerwen wins against Dominik Gruellich. This market will resolve to 'Dominik Gruellich' if Dominik Gruellich wins against Michael van Gerwen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, whereas this market allows traders to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Players Championship match between Michael van Gerwen and Dominik Gruellich as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or commentary from darts analysts, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket could create short-term price movements, so monitoring the trading volume is crucial. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the players' chances of winning will likely move the market.